EFFECT OF INSECURITY ON FOOD SECURITY: MATHEMATICAL INSIGHTS FROM FARMER-HERDER CLASHES IN NIGERIA
Keywords:
ordinary differential equations, mathematical model, herders-farmers conflict, InsecurityAbstract
The pressure of feeding the estimated 3rd most populous country by 2100 would have been herculean but for the struggling contribution of subsistent farming and pastoralist to Nigeria’s economic growth. Evidence of insecurity abound in the country: ethno-religious crisis, deepening levels of moral values, falling standard of family and communal life, rising antisocial behaviours, heightening atmosphere of mistrust, fear, and anxiety; rising levels of poverty, hunger, hostility, and criminality. The cooperate existence of the country has come under extreme threat. To attempt to provide a way out, we proposed, developed, and analysed a mathematical model of Farmer – Herder conflict using a system of ordinary differential equations. We obtained and performed qualitative analysis which indicates the condition for harmonious coexistence in the society.
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