SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF A TUBERCULOSIS (TB) MATHEMATICAL MODEL

Authors

  • Vegha Vaachia Department of Mathematics, Federal University of Agriculture, Makurdi Author
  • Onwubuya Isaac Obiajulu Air Force Institute of Technology, Kaduna Author
  • Mande Timothy Terna National Water Resources Institute, Kaduna Author

Keywords:

Sensitivity analysis, Basic reproduction number, Disease free equilibrium, Tuberculosis

Abstract

In this work, we have constructed a modified Mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis TB. Feasibility and positivity of solutions of the model are determined and it is established that the model is well posed and that the solutions are
all positive. The disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is also determined and the basic reproduction number ???????? is computed. Sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number is conducted to find parameters of the model that are most sensitive and should be targeted by intervention strategies. It was therefore, observed through sensitivity analysis that TB induced death (d) has a high impact on ???????? and varies inversely with ???????? . Graphical simulation of the model parameters was performed. It was observed that model parameters such as infection rate (????), recruitment rate (????) and rate of movement from latent to active TB (????) are directly proportional to the basic reproduction number???????? . Finally, it is observed that the basic reproduction number ???????? is a decreasing function of the recovery rate (????) and natural death rate (????). 

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References

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Published

2023-08-01

How to Cite

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF A TUBERCULOSIS (TB) MATHEMATICAL MODEL. (2023). The Journals of the Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, 65, 47 – 56. https://nampjournals.org.ng/index.php/home/article/view/19

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