MODELLING THE COMPRESSIVE STRENGTH OF COSTUS AFER-MODIFIED FLY ASH GEOPOLYMER CONCRETE AS A FUNCTION OF CURING TEMPERATURE, ACTIVATOR RATIO, AND NAOH CONCENTRATION

Authors

  • O. R. Ogirigbo Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Benin, Benin City, Edo State, Nigeria. Author
  • S. D. Iyeke Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Benin, Benin City, Edo State, Nigeria. Author
  • C. Kennedy Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Benin, Benin City, Edo State, Nigeria Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.60787/jnamp.vol73no.755

Keywords:

Water saturation,, ensemble model, neural network, well log, MATLAB, core data, learning, reservoir

Abstract

The use of geopolymer concrete as a sustainable alternative to ordinary Portland cement concrete has increased, but predicting its compressive strength remains challenging due to complex interactions among mix and curing parameters. This study developed Multilinear Regression (MLR) and Random Forest (RF) models to predict the compressive strength of Costus afer modified fly ash geopolymer concrete using curing temperature, activator ratio, and sodium hydroxide concentration. Model performance was evaluated using R², MAE, MSE, and MAPE. The RF model outperformed MLR, achieving R² values of 0.9898 and 0.9882 for training and testing, respectively, with testing MAE, MSE, and MAPE of 1.3396 MPa, 2.2104 MPa², and 6.11%. Feature importance analysis identified curing temperature as the most influential parameter, followed by activator ratio, while sodium hydroxide concentration had the least effect. The RF model offers a reliable tool for strength prediction and mixture optimization.

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Published

2026-09-25

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How to Cite

MODELLING THE COMPRESSIVE STRENGTH OF COSTUS AFER-MODIFIED FLY ASH GEOPOLYMER CONCRETE AS A FUNCTION OF CURING TEMPERATURE, ACTIVATOR RATIO, AND NAOH CONCENTRATION. (2026). The Journals of the Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, 73, 185-203. https://doi.org/10.60787/jnamp.vol73no.755

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